Find a TenderOpen for tender Tender notice
Published 2 Oct 2026, 16:13 BST

Official UK procurement notice

Flight Schedules Data · UK public procurement notice

Authority: Department for Transport (Central government)

ServicesBelow threshold - open competitionBelow thresholdSME suitableVCSE suitable
Sectors: Research & Development (R&D) (73) Delivery: Delivery location not published
Published estimate£25,000≈ £30k / year · £30,000 inc. VAT
Submission deadline 30 Oct 202612:00 GMT · 3 days left
Clarification cut-off 16 Oct 202612:00 BST · questions to the authority
Contract term 10 moends 30 Sept 2027 · up to 30 Sept 2028 with extensions · starts 1 Dec 2026

What is being bought

Published requirement description

The DfT requires access to a detailed dataset on flight schedules to monitor the capacity and connectivity of the aviation sector and respond to any business-critical disruption in air transport. This data will directly feed into the DfT’s policy-making and contingency planning and response, being used by analysts to get a retrospective and forward look of flights and be able to identify any potential for disruption.

CPV: Research services

The lotProcurement structure

single lot · value published
Lot #1Renewal 10 moSMEVCSEPublished value£25,000
Contract period: 1 Dec 2026 – 30 Sept 2027 (10 mo) · up to 30 Sept 2028 with extensionsValue: £25,000 exc. VAT · £30,000 inc. VAT
Eligibility: SME eligibleVCSE eligibleTurnover guideline: ~£60,041/yr≈ 2× annual value
Extensions: The provision of 2 x 12 month extensions has been included but will on DfT interval review and neccessary approvals.

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

What it takes to win
i

How this buyer will score bids.

The evaluation criteria and weights exactly as published on the notice, grouped by family (price, quality, social value and so on).

Evaluation split and conditions of participation as published; the tender pack may add more
How bids are scored

Lot awarding rule: Most advatageous tender

No conditions of participation were published on the notice; check the tender documents.

What this means for your bid
  • Turnover usually expected at this size: about £60,041 (twice the annual value).

Turnover is an indicative market norm (≈2× annual value), not a published condition.

Competition analysis · published record, not a forecast of who will bid

How Department for Transport buys Research services (CPV 7311), and who usually turns up

Department for Transport’s published record next to the market for the same work. Frameworks and DPS are left out: they draw different bid counts. Whole-market view: Research services (CPV 7311) →

1

How the contest usually goes

Winner shares use published awards; bid and price charts use contested lots.

Question for the bid
This buyerDepartment for Transport · division 73
The marketResearch services (CPV 7311) · Greater London (authority’s region)
What to do with it
How often do SMEs win?
i

How often small and medium firms win.

Share of awards where the winner’s size is known.

The counts under this question show how many awards have a known supplier size.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 2 of 19 known-size awards · market: CPV 7311 · Greater London (authority’s region), n=94
11%36%

Small firms have won here. Neither number says whether you qualify; it describes who has been winning.

How often do local suppliers win?
i

How often local firms win similar work.

Winners with a registered address in the delivery region, out of awards with a known address.

Local means the winner is registered in the region where that award was delivered. The market figure counts awards delivered in Greater London (authority’s region).

A local branch does not count if the registered address is elsewhere.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: no winner locations published · market: CPV 7311 · Greater London (authority’s region), n=47
—36%

No winner locations published for this authority. Local means a registered address in the region where that award was delivered.

How long to a decision?
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the bid deadline to the award date, on competitions that published both.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: no decision dates published · market: CPV 7311 · Greater London (authority’s region), n=10
—31 days

Half of these awards have an award date within 31 days of the bid deadline.

How often single-bid or direct?
i

How often work is awarded with no recorded rival.

Direct awards and tenders where every published lot count shows one bid.

Both shares are minimums: some awards have no bid count.

Thin markets produce this too; it is not proof of a tailored specification.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: at least 18 of 24 procurements with awards had no recorded rival · market: CPV 7311 · Greater London (authority’s region), n=120
75%56%

Direct awards or one recorded bid are common here. Check the route before spending time on a bid.

How many bids did past lots attract?

i

How many bids past lots received.

Each colour is a bid-count range. Only competed lots with a published count are included.

Past bids do not predict this tender.

Last 36 months.

This buyer30 lots with bid counts · all categories
13% had one bid
The market12 lots with bid counts · CPV 7311 · Greater London (authority’s region)
8% had one bid
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
1 bid13% / 8%
Buyer: 4 of 30 lots with published bid counts. Market: 1 of 12 lots with published bid counts.
2–330% / 17%
Buyer: 9 of 30 lots with published bid counts. Market: 2 of 12 lots with published bid counts.
4–630% / 33%
Buyer: 9 of 30 lots with published bid counts. Market: 4 of 12 lots with published bid counts.
7+27% / 42%
Buyer: 8 of 30 lots with published bid counts. Market: 5 of 12 lots with published bid counts.

How did awards compare with estimates?

i

Where winning prices landed against estimates.

Each colour shows awards below, close to or above the published estimate, one lot at a time.

Past prices are a guide, not a bid price.

Last 36 months.

This buyer24 lots with estimate and award · all categories
38% below estimate
The market16 lots with estimate and award · CPV 7311 · Greater London (authority’s region)
44% below estimate
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
Below estimate38% / 44%
Buyer: 9 of 24 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 7 of 16 lots with an estimate and award.
Within ±2%42% / 50%
Buyer: 10 of 24 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 8 of 16 lots with an estimate and award.
Above estimate21% / 6%
Buyer: 5 of 24 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 1 of 16 lots with an estimate and award.
2

Assess each lot
i

What past awards tell you about each lot.

See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.

No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.

Open a lot for its forecast, this buyer’s previous supplier and possible competitors, from published award history, not a bid list

Lot #1CPV 731110 monthsSME suitablePublished estimate£25k
Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

4expected bids15% chance of a single bid
similar past contests in this category: 98
Forecast chances for this lot
1 bid15%
Chance this lot gets 1 bid: 15%. This is a forecast.
2–328%
Chance this lot gets 2–3: 28%. This is a forecast.
4–631%
Chance this lot gets 4–6: 31%. This is a forecast.
7+25%
Chance this lot gets 7+: 25%. This is a forecast.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

Based on 51 comparable awards. Each lot reflects its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

£24k5% below estimate
51 comparable awards
Forecast compared with the buyer’s estimate
Middle 50%£20k–£25k
Half of likely prices fall between £19,882 and £25,000.
Estimate£25k
The buyer published an estimate of £25,000 for this lot.
A 23% chance the award lands exactly on the estimate.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

SupplierThis buyer’s earlier contractLotAward valueWhy listed
PHYLUM FORGE LTDWorked for this buyerDfT - Real Time Events Datanotice published Jun 2026——Similar wording and category
Smiths Detection Watford LtdWorked for this buyerwww.dft.gov.uknotice published Mar 2023——Similar wording and category
Bryce Space and Technology LimitedWorked for this buyerSpaceflight UK Launch Insurance Policy and Re-entry Risknotice published Jan 2024——Similar wording and category
TRL ltdWorked for this buyerPhase 4 - Road Accident In-Depth Studies (RAIDS) programmenotice published Sept 2026——Similar wording and category

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

SupplierWon in this categoryLive contractsAward vs estimate
Buyer regular33 panel places
£60m134 awards in 36m · last this month33 live · £19m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=27
TRL ltdLarge
Buyer regular5 panel places
£6.6m10 awards in 36m · last 2 months ago3 live · £5.8m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=2
Buyer regular1 panel places
£2.1m3 awards in 36m · last 7 months ago1 live · £283k
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=6
3 panel places
£2.0m20 awards in 36m · last 1 month ago4 live · £797k
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=8
£109k3 awards in 36m · last 4 months ago3 live · £109k
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=1
About this data
  • Source. Official UK public procurement notices (Find a Tender), reused under the Open Government Licence v3.0. New notices arrive through the day; the figures are rebuilt nightly.
  • Two views, kept apart. The authority’s own track record and the wider market for the same kind of work sit side by side and are never mixed. Where the local picture is too thin, a figure widens to a broader market and says which one it used.
  • Forecasts are labelled. The price forecast and its range, possible competitors and the earlier-work matches are our estimates from past awards: not published facts, not win chances and not price advice. Official notices do not say who is bidding.
  • Every figure shows what it rests on. Not every notice publishes a bid count, a value or a delivery region, so each figure carries the number of records behind it, and one built on few records is marked as such. The on a figure explains it; the counting rules are in the methodology. Spotted something wrong? Tell us.

Procedure terms & legal framework

From the official record
Procedure method
Below threshold - open competition
Legal basis
UKPGA · 2023/54 Procurement Act 2023
Procurement category
Services
Notice status
Open for tender
Procurement threshold
Below threshold
Regulatory regime
Standard
Commercial structure
Stand-alone contract (no framework)
Competition type
Competitive procedure
GPA / WTO covered
Unspecified in notice
Recurring procurement
Unspecified in notice
First published
2 Oct 2026, 16:13 BST
Last source update
2 Oct 2026, 16:36 BST
FTS notice number
2026/S 000-093511
Latest notice
Tender notice (UK4)
Classification (CPV)
Research services
Delivery area
Not published
Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-078016 Find a Tender

How to participate & submission route

Official notice Submit via Jaggaer
Submission portal named on this notice: Jaggaer · Who buys & how to bid on JAGGAER
Supplier login requiredElectronic submission allowed
Access & registration note: Free; latest Chrome/Edge/Firefox only — corporate browsers fail
Requests to participate (first stage)
—
Tender submission deadline
30 Oct 2026, 12:00 GMT
Clarification deadline
16 Oct 2026, 12:00 BST
Submission channel
Official e-sourcing portal
Electronic submission
Allowed
Detailed submission instructions & authority contactsFrom official release
Published estimate £25,000 excludes VAT (£30,000 including VAT).

Timeline

2 Oct 2026 → 1 Dec 2026 · 4 dates
  1. Tender notice published24 days ago
    2 Oct 2026, 16:13 BST
  2. Clarification questions by10 days ago
    16 Oct 2026, 12:00 BST
  3. Today
    27 Oct 2026
  4. Submission deadlinein 3 days
    30 Oct 2026, 12:00 GMT
  5. Contract startsin 34 days
    1 Dec 2026

Notice history

2 events · 2 releases on Find a Tender · since 2 Oct 2026
  1. Tender notice published
    2 Oct 2026, 16:13 BST
    UK4
  2. Tender notice published
    2 Oct 2026, 16:36 BST
    UK4
Published amendments (1)

Change submission address to the relevant ITT project in Jaggaer

Commercial outcome & contract awards

Nothing awarded yet
Awards (0)
No award published
Contracts (0)
No contract published
Bid statistics
No aggregate bid statistics published

Contracting authority & participating public bodies

Department for Transport

Contracting authorityPublic authority - central government GB-PPON: PLTC-5358-LTWZ Great Minster House, 33 Horseferry Road, London, London, SW1P 4DRContact email

Official documents & specifications (2)

Official links; attachments are not copied

Notices published for this procedure

  • Tender notice tenderTender noticeUK4Tender notice on Find a Tender
  • Tender notice tenderTender noticeUK4Tender notice on Find a Tender