Find a TenderOpen for tender Tender notice
Published 21 Oct 2026, 16:42 BST

Official UK procurement notice

Economic analysis of access applications

Authority: Office of Rail and Road (Central government)

ServicesBelow threshold - open competitionBelow thresholdReserved: K02000001SME suitable
Sectors: Research & Development (R&D) (73) Delivery: UK
Published estimate£95,000≈ £95k / year · £114,000 inc. VAT
Submission deadline 9 Nov 202617:00 GMT · 12 days left
Clarification cut-off 9 Nov 202617:00 GMT · questions to the authority
Contract term 1 yrends 15 Nov 2027 · starts 16 Nov 2026

What is being bought

Published requirement description

This invitation to tender sets out ORR's requirement for consultants to carry out economic analysis in support of ORR's assessment of track access rights decisions for four access applications.

ORR is responsible for regulating access to the national rail network. A train operator seeking rights to operate services on Network Rail infrastructure must enter into a track access contract, which requires ORR approval under the Railways Act 1993. ORR is required to approve contracts where the parties have reached agreement. Where the parties are unable to agree, an operator may apply to ORR for a determination.

In reaching track access decisions, ORR weighs all its relevant duties under the Railways Act 1993. This is done by exploring a range of considerations, such as availability of capacity, impact on performance and safety, competition and the impact on Secretary of State's funds.

ORR is assessing four applications on which we are seeking consultancy support for economic analysis

CPV: Research and development services and related consultancy services

The lotProcurement structure

single lot · value published
Lot #1 1 yrSMEPublished value£95,000
Contract period: 16 Nov 2026 – 15 Nov 2027 (1 yr)Value: £95,000 exc. VAT · £114,000 inc. VAT
Delivery: UKEligibility: SME eligibleTurnover guideline: ~£190,000/yr≈ 2× annual value
Pre-qualification & selection criteria (PQQ)1
  • Condition of participation

    This is open to all UK suppliers only.

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

What it takes to win
i

How this buyer will score bids.

The evaluation criteria and weights exactly as published on the notice, grouped by family (price, quality, social value and so on).

Evaluation split and conditions of participation as published; the tender pack may add more
How bids are scored

Lot awarding rule: Methodology - 25% Delivery 25% Experience 25% Cost / Value for Money 25%

Conditions of participation1
  • Condition of participation

    This is open to all UK suppliers only.

What this means for your bid
  • Turnover usually expected at this size: about £190,000 (twice the annual value).

Turnover is an indicative market norm (≈2× annual value), not a published condition.

Competition analysis · published record, not a forecast of who will bid

How Office of Rail and Road buys Research and development services (CPV 73), and who usually turns up

Office of Rail and Road’s published record next to the market for the same work. Frameworks and DPS are left out: they draw different bid counts. Whole-market view: Research and development services (CPV 73) →

1

How the contest usually goes

Winner shares use published awards; bid and price charts use contested lots.

Question for the bid
This buyerOffice of Rail and Road · all categories
What to do with it
How often do SMEs win?
i

How often small and medium firms win.

Share of awards where the winner’s size is known.

The counts under this question show how many awards have a known supplier size.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 13 of 28 known-size awards · market: division 73 · UK-wide, n=1,019
46%45%

Small firms have won here. Neither number says whether you qualify; it describes who has been winning.

How often do local suppliers win?
i

How often local firms win similar work.

Winners with a registered address in the delivery region, out of awards with a known address.

Local means the winner is registered in the region where that award was delivered.

A local branch does not count if the registered address is elsewhere.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 2 of 2 known-location awards · market: division 73 · UK-wide, n=636
2 of 248%

Most of this buyer’s recorded winners were registered in the region where that award was delivered.

How long to a decision?
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the bid deadline to the award date, on competitions that published both.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: no decision dates published · market: division 73 · UK-wide, n=142
—28 days

Half of these awards have an award date within 28 days of the bid deadline.

How often single-bid or direct?
i

How often work is awarded with no recorded rival.

Direct awards and tenders where every published lot count shows one bid.

Both shares are minimums: some awards have no bid count.

Thin markets produce this too; it is not proof of a tailored specification.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: at least 3 of 41 procurements with awards had no recorded rival · market: division 73 · UK-wide, n=1,509
7%49%

Missing bid counts may hide more single-bid awards. This share is a minimum.

How many bids did past lots attract?

i

How many bids past lots received.

Each colour is a bid-count range. Only competed lots with a published count are included.

Past bids do not predict this tender.

Last 36 months.

This buyerToo few to chart: 1 lot with bid counts, 5 needed · all categories
The market261 lots with bid counts · division 73 · UK-wide
13% had one bid
Market · select a colour for counts
1 bid13%
Market: 35 of 261 lots with published bid counts.
2–326%
Market: 68 of 261 lots with published bid counts.
4–630%
Market: 79 of 261 lots with published bid counts.
7+30%
Market: 79 of 261 lots with published bid counts.

How did awards compare with estimates?

i

Where winning prices landed against estimates.

Each colour shows awards below, close to or above the published estimate, one lot at a time.

Past prices are a guide, not a bid price.

Last 36 months.

This buyer22 lots with estimate and award · all categories
68% below estimate
The market265 lots with estimate and award · division 73 · UK-wide
51% below estimate
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
Below estimate68% / 51%
Buyer: 15 of 22 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 136 of 265 lots with an estimate and award.
Within ±2%23% / 42%
Buyer: 5 of 22 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 110 of 265 lots with an estimate and award.
Above estimate9% / 7%
Buyer: 2 of 22 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 19 of 265 lots with an estimate and award.
2

Assess each lot
i

What past awards tell you about each lot.

See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.

No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.

Open a lot for its forecast, this buyer’s previous supplier and possible competitors, from published award history, not a bid list

Lot #1CPV 7312 monthsSME suitablePublished estimate£95k

This lot lists more than one class in CPV 73. The comparison uses that group.

Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

5expected bids8% chance of a single bid
similar past contests in this category: 287
Forecast chances for this lot
1 bid8%
Chance this lot gets 1 bid: 8%. This is a forecast.
2–319%
Chance this lot gets 2–3: 19%. This is a forecast.
4–631%
Chance this lot gets 4–6: 31%. This is a forecast.
7+42%
Chance this lot gets 7+: 42%. This is a forecast.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

Based on 138 comparable awards. Each lot reflects its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

£84k11% below estimate
138 comparable awards
Forecast compared with the buyer’s estimate
Middle 50%£81k–£91k
Half of likely prices fall between £81,082 and £90,510.
Estimate£95k
The buyer published an estimate of £95,000 for this lot.
A 15% chance the award lands exactly on the estimate.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

No earlier contract of this buyer matches this lot on the published record.

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

SupplierWon in this categoryLive contractsAward vs estimate
6 panel places
£143m22 awards in 36m · last this month11 live · £209m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

11% below n=5
10 panel places
£45m61 awards in 36m · last this month14 live · £31m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

10% below n=16
4 panel places
£16m26 awards in 36m · last this month16 live · £7.4m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=5
6 panel places
£10m13 awards in 36m · last 1 month ago3 live · £3.8m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=8
9 panel places
£9.8m42 awards in 36m · last 1 month ago15 live · £4.4m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

6% below n=6
About this data
  • Source. Official UK public procurement notices (Find a Tender), reused under the Open Government Licence v3.0. New notices arrive through the day; the figures are rebuilt nightly.
  • Two views, kept apart. The authority’s own track record and the wider market for the same kind of work sit side by side and are never mixed. Where the local picture is too thin, a figure widens to a broader market and says which one it used.
  • Forecasts are labelled. The price forecast and its range, possible competitors and the earlier-work matches are our estimates from past awards: not published facts, not win chances and not price advice. Official notices do not say who is bidding.
  • Every figure shows what it rests on. Not every notice publishes a bid count, a value or a delivery region, so each figure carries the number of records behind it, and one built on few records is marked as such. The on a figure explains it; the counting rules are in the methodology. Spotted something wrong? Tell us.

Procedure terms & legal framework

From the official record
Procedure method
Below threshold - open competition
Legal basis
UKPGA · 2023/54 Procurement Act 2023
Procurement category
Services
Notice status
Open for tender
Procurement threshold
Below threshold
Regulatory regime
Standard
Commercial structure
Stand-alone contract (no framework)
Competition type
Competitive procedure
GPA / WTO covered
Unspecified in notice
Recurring procurement
Unspecified in notice
First published
21 Oct 2026, 16:42 BST
Last source update
23 Oct 2026, 16:50 BST
Authority reference
ORR/CT/26-42
FTS notice number
2026/S 000-099679
Latest notice
Tender notice (UK4)
Classification (CPV)
Research and development services and related consultancy services
Delivery area
UK
Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-078d4a Find a Tender
Contract terms
Reserved participation area
K02000001

How to participate & submission route

Official notice Submit via portal
Submission portal named on this notice: portal not identified
Electronic submission allowed
Requests to participate (first stage)
—
Tender submission deadline
9 Nov 2026, 17:00 GMT
Clarification deadline
9 Nov 2026, 17:00 GMT
Submission channel
Official e-sourcing portal
Electronic submission
Allowed
Detailed submission instructions & authority contactsFrom official release

E-portal - You must register on the e-tendering portal to access the ITT and submit a tender by visiting and registering via this link;

www.orr.gov.uk/about/procuring-good… ↗

The ITT can be accessed via this link, if you have registered to the e-portal;

orr.ukp.app.jaggaer.com/go/6599246301A159C4B14C ↗

Published estimate £95,000 excludes VAT (£114,000 including VAT).

Timeline

21 Oct 2026 → 16 Nov 2026 · 5 dates
  1. Tender notice published6 days ago
    21 Oct 2026, 16:42 BST
  2. Latest notice published4 days ago
    23 Oct 2026, 16:50 BST
  3. Today
    27 Oct 2026
  4. Clarification questions byin 12 days
    9 Nov 2026, 17:00 GMT
  5. Submission deadlinein 12 days
    9 Nov 2026, 17:00 GMT
  6. Contract startsin 19 days
    16 Nov 2026

Notice history

3 events · 2 releases on Find a Tender · since 21 Oct 2026
  1. Tender notice published
    21 Oct 2026, 16:42 BST
    UK4
  2. Tender notice published
    23 Oct 2026, 16:50 BST
    UK4
  3. Deadline moved to 9 Nov 2026, 17:00 GMT
    23 Oct 2026, 16:50 BST
    +5 days · was 4 Nov 2026, 17:00 GMT
Published amendments (1)

Dear Suppliers We have now extended the deadlines with the following dates; Deadline for the submission of clarification questions 9 November 2026 17:00 Deadline for submission of proposals 9 November 2026 17:00 Award contract w/c 9 November 2026 Project Inception Meeting 16 November 2026 Kind regards Procurement Team

Commercial outcome & contract awards

Nothing awarded yet
Awards (0)
No award published
Contracts (0)
No contract published
Bid statistics
No aggregate bid statistics published

Contracting authority & participating public bodies

Office of Rail and Road

Contracting authorityPublic authority - central government GB-PPON: PMPH-6471-MDYY 25 Cabot Square, London, London, E14 4QZContact email

Official documents & specifications (6)

Official links; attachments are not copied

Tender pack and attachments

Notices published for this procedure

  • Tender notice tenderTender noticeUK4Tender notice on Find a Tender
  • Tender notice tenderTender noticeUK4Tender notice on Find a Tender