Find a TenderPlanned procurementPreliminary market engagement notice
Published 29 Sept 2026, 13:46 BST

Official UK procurement notice

GMCA 2027 Stock Condition Survey

Authority: Greater Manchester Combined Authority (Local council)

ServicesBelow threshold
Planned pipeline valueValue not publishedpipeline notice, not a live tender
Tender notice expected Date not publishedfrom the planned procurement notice
Contract term 5 moends 30 May 2027 · starts 30 Dec 2026

What is being bought

Published requirement description

GMCA are inviting feedback from potential suppliers in relation to the delivery of a stock condition model for Greater Manchester. It is expected that the model/survey would be a desktop survey which would provide modelled outputs. The survey outputs would allow the GMCA and the 10 Greater Manchester local authorities to compare the data produced with historic stock condition data, based on type and level of hazards within the Housing Health and Safety Rating system. It would support Housing Strategies, Climate Action Plans, and Fuel Poverty actions, as well as assist the local authorities to comply with their duties under the Regulatory Reform Order 2002 and the integration of Public Health responsibilities into the Local Authority.

The objectives of the potential model/survey are to understand the following:

A. The overall stock condition of homes across Greater Manchester by house type, age and tenure of the home.

B. Levels of minimum acceptable conditions as set out in the Housing Health and Safety Rating System.

C. Estimation of the state of repair, modernity of internal living facilities and thermal comfort as set out in the Decent Homes Standard, however consideration should be paid to the status of the proposed standard.

D. Levels of fuel poverty in line with the Government's current Fuel Poverty Strategy and emerging policy.

E. How the stock condition across the 10 Greater Manchester local authorities compares with the Survey of English Housing Survey trends to establish to what extent conditions in Greater Manchester follows the national trend over the same period.

F. Estimates of retrofit opportunities utilising the Net Zero Housing Retrofit Framework Agreement.

G. Understanding levels of overcrowding.

The outputs of the model/survey will be used for the following purposes:

  1. As a key input into the Greater Manchester Health and Housing model. The data from the stock condition model will be combined with health data in a secure environment. The GMCA/NHSGM and the provider building the health and housing model will work closely with the successful provider to identify how best to integrate the data and note any caveats concerning the data.
  2. Support the GMCA to identify locations which would benefit from retrofit interventions to support the 2038 carbon neutrality ambitions of the city region. Greater Manchester as part of the Integrated Settlement has a devolved retrofit budget which is key to meeting these ambitions.
  3. Support the development of housing and retrofit strategy and delivery across the ten Greater Manchester local authorities.
  4. Visualisation of the outputs on dashboards or similar to allow access to the outputs for decision makers and members of the public. What can and cannot be shared and the format can be negotiated.
  5. Support the ten Greater Manchester local authorities to meet their statutory housing duties in regard to understanding the condition of housing stock in their area.

This commission potentially contains 2 x elements which views are sought on:

  • A stock condition model/survey for the whole of Greater Manchester with breakdown of condition as low as possible - ideally address level.
  • Visualisation tool for the model and an ability for the social housing element to be interrogated and updated.

The outputs for the model would need to be in a sharable format which the GMCA and partners can use for visualisation and modelling e.g. a CSV output. The output would be shared with the 10 x local authorities and the University of Manchester.

The contract would be for a one off piece of work delivering the model and any associated visualisations. Two costs will be sought for the two parts of the commission and the GMCA reserves the right to commission either both parts of only one part. We are interested in thoughts on the ability to deliver either or both parts.

CPV: Research and development services and related consultancy services

The lotProcurement structure

single lot · no lot value published

Pipeline intelligence · planning stage: how this market runs before the tender is published

How Greater Manchester Combined Authority buys Research and development services (CPV 73), and who usually turns up

Greater Manchester Combined Authority’s published record next to the market for the same work. Frameworks and DPS are left out: they draw different bid counts. Whole-market view: Research and development services (CPV 73) →

1

How the contest usually goes

Winner shares use published awards; bid and price charts use contested lots.

Question for the bid
This buyerGreater Manchester Combined Authority · division 73
The marketResearch and development services (CPV 73) · North West England
What to do with it
How often do SMEs win?
i

How often small and medium firms win.

Share of awards where the winner’s size is known.

The counts under this question show how many awards have a known supplier size.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 14 of 28 known-size awards · market: division 73 · North West England, n=171
50%50%

Small firms have won here. Neither number says whether you qualify; it describes who has been winning.

How often do local suppliers win?
i

How often local firms win similar work.

Winners with a registered address in the delivery region, out of awards with a known address.

Local means the winner is registered in the region where that award was delivered. The market figure counts awards delivered in North West England.

A local branch does not count if the registered address is elsewhere.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 6 of 19 known-location awards · market: division 73 · North West England, n=183
32%16%

Most of this buyer’s recorded winners were registered outside the region where that award was delivered.

How long to a decision?
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the bid deadline to the award date, on competitions that published both.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 3 decided notices · market: division 73 · North West England, n=14
35 days49 days

Half of these awards have an award date within 35 days of the bid deadline.

How often single-bid or direct?
i

How often work is awarded with no recorded rival.

Direct awards and tenders where every published lot count shows one bid.

Both shares are minimums: some awards have no bid count.

Thin markets produce this too; it is not proof of a tailored specification.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: at least 19 of 39 procurements with awards had no recorded rival · market: division 73 · North West England, n=228
49%52%

Direct awards or one recorded bid are common here. Check the route before spending time on a bid.

How many bids did past lots attract?

i

How many bids past lots received.

Each colour is a bid-count range. Only competed lots with a published count are included.

Past bids do not predict this tender.

Last 36 months.

This buyer55 lots with bid counts · all categories
25% had one bid
The market24 lots with bid counts · division 73 · North West England
8% had one bid
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
1 bid25% / 8%
Buyer: 14 of 55 lots with published bid counts. Market: 2 of 24 lots with published bid counts.
2–327% / 29%
Buyer: 15 of 55 lots with published bid counts. Market: 7 of 24 lots with published bid counts.
4–625% / 38%
Buyer: 14 of 55 lots with published bid counts. Market: 9 of 24 lots with published bid counts.
7+22% / 25%
Buyer: 12 of 55 lots with published bid counts. Market: 6 of 24 lots with published bid counts.

How did awards compare with estimates?

i

Where winning prices landed against estimates.

Each colour shows awards below, close to or above the published estimate, one lot at a time.

Past prices are a guide, not a bid price.

Last 36 months.

This buyer5 lots with estimate and award · broad CPV 73
40% below estimate
The market28 lots with estimate and award · division 73 · North West England
61% below estimate
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
Below estimate40% / 61%
Buyer: 2 of 5 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 17 of 28 lots with an estimate and award.
Within ±2%60% / 29%
Buyer: 3 of 5 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 8 of 28 lots with an estimate and award.
Above estimate0% / 11%
Buyer: 0 of 5 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 3 of 28 lots with an estimate and award.
2

Assess each lot
i

What past awards tell you about each lot.

See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.

No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.

Open a lot for its forecast, this buyer’s previous supplier and possible competitors, from published award history, not a bid list

Lot #1CPV 735 monthsEstimate not published

This lot lists more than one class in CPV 73. The comparison uses that group.

Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative. The bar shows 24 past lots.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

—No model forecast yet8% chance of a single bid
Past bids on 24 similar lots
1 bid8%
2 of 24 similar past lots received 1 bid (8%).
2–329%
7 of 24 similar past lots received 2–3 (29%).
4–638%
9 of 24 similar past lots received 4–6 (38%).
7+25%
6 of 24 similar past lots received 7+ (25%).
Comparable past lots usually drew 4.5 bids.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

No comparable awards for this lot yet.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

—Estimate not published
The buyer published no estimate for this lot, so there is nothing to forecast against. A price prediction here would be a number about a number we do not have.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

No earlier contract of this buyer matches this lot on the published record.

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

Candidate suppliers for this notice have not been worked out yet, so this is not a verdict that nobody fits.

About this data
  • Source. Official UK public procurement notices (Find a Tender), reused under the Open Government Licence v3.0. New notices arrive through the day; the figures are rebuilt nightly.
  • Two views, kept apart. The authority’s own track record and the wider market for the same kind of work sit side by side and are never mixed. Where the local picture is too thin, a figure widens to a broader market and says which one it used.
  • Forecasts are labelled. The price forecast and its range, possible competitors and the earlier-work matches are our estimates from past awards: not published facts, not win chances and not price advice. Official notices do not say who is bidding.
  • Every figure shows what it rests on. Not every notice publishes a bid count, a value or a delivery region, so each figure carries the number of records behind it, and one built on few records is marked as such. The on a figure explains it; the counting rules are in the methodology. Spotted something wrong? Tell us.

Procedure terms & legal framework

From the official record
Legal basis
UKPGA · 2023/54 Procurement Act 2023
Procurement category
Services
Notice status
Planned procurement
Procurement threshold
Below threshold
Regulatory regime
Standard
Commercial structure
Stand-alone contract (no framework)
Competition type
Competitive procedure
GPA / WTO covered
Unspecified in notice
Recurring procurement
Unspecified in notice
First published
29 Sept 2026, 13:46 BST
Last source update
29 Sept 2026, 13:46 BST
Authority reference
GMCA2027
FTS notice number
2026/S 000-091894
Latest notice
Preliminary market engagement notice (UK2)
Classification (CPV)
Research and development services and related consultancy services
Delivery area
North West (UKD)
Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-077c84 Find a Tender

How it was run

Official notice
Submission deadline
—

Timeline

29 Sept 2026 → 30 Dec 2026 · 3 dates
  1. Planning notice published28 days ago
    29 Sept 2026, 13:46 BST
  2. Market engagement4 days ago
    23 Oct 2026, 23:59 BST

    If interested, all responses should be submitted via the Chest e-tendering portal: procontract.due-north.com/Opportunities/Index ↗

  3. Today
    28 Oct 2026
  4. Contract startsin 62 days
    30 Dec 2026

Notice history

1 event · 1 release on Find a Tender
  1. Preliminary market engagement notice published
    29 Sept 2026, 13:46 BST
    UK2

Commercial outcome & contract awards

Pipeline notice
Awards (0)
No award published
Contracts (0)
No contract published
Bid statistics
No aggregate bid statistics published

Contracting authority & participating public bodies

Greater Manchester Combined Authority

Contracting authorityPublic authority - sub-central government GB-PPON: PXBN-3793-LCTQ 56 Oxford Street, Manchester, North West, M1 6EUContact email

Official documents & specifications (1)

Official links; attachments are not copied

Notices published for this procedure