Find a TenderPlanned procurementPipeline notice
Published 20 Nov 2025, 13:42 GMT

Official UK procurement notice

Provision for Bulk Waste Removal

Authority: Paragon Asra Housing Limited (Public body)

ServicesOpen procedureAbove thresholdSME suitableVCSE suitable
Planned pipeline value£1,500,000pipeline notice, not a live tender
Tender notice expected 30 Jan 2026from the planned procurement notice
Contract term 1 yrends 1 Apr 2027 · starts 1 Apr 2026

What is being bought

Published requirement description

This procurement is for bulk waste collection across the Midlands and London Southeast. It is intended that this procurement will go through FAT.

Please note that the pipeline notice UK01 is a notice and not a formal invite to engage. The intention of the notice is to pre warn the market about up-and-coming procurements. PA will not be directly responding to emails due to a potential risk of breaching early market engagement rules. However, we politely request that all potential suppliers register on In-tend at in-tendhost.co.uk/pahousing/aspx/Home ↗ under Pipeline Request. Potential Suppliers must note which internal procurement reference and title in your correspondence title. PA will not respond but we will see that you registered and attached yourself with the Pipeline Request within In-tend.

To note the route to market on the pipeline is an indicator at the time of being published and can change as procurements are fully scoped out. Where PA are using a framework agreement or a DPS we will not engage the market unless we have a requirement to conduct market engagement. Where PA are conducting an above threshold open or competitive flexible procedure PA Housing will engage with early market engagement if required and by publishing the formal notice. As by way of being transparent PA Housing does not have an obligation to respond to emails or items registered on In-tend. Any additional engagement with employees may be construed as canvassing.

CPV: Cleaning and sanitation services · Cleaning and sanitation services in urban or rural areas, and related services · Environmental services · Refuse and waste related services

The lotProcurement structure

single lot · no lot value published

Pipeline intelligence · planning stage: how this market runs before the tender is published

How Paragon Asra Housing Limited buys Refuse and waste related services (CPV 9050), and who usually turns up

Paragon Asra Housing Limited has little published record in this market. Frameworks and DPS are left out: they draw different bid counts. Whole-market view: Refuse and waste related services (CPV 9050) →

1

How the contest usually goes

Winner shares use published awards; bid and price charts use contested lots.

Question for the bid
This buyerParagon Asra Housing Limited · this authority
What to do with it
How often do SMEs win?
i

How often small and medium firms win.

Share of awards where the winner’s size is known.

The counts under this question show how many awards have a known supplier size.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: no supplier sizes published · market: CPV 9050 · UK-wide, n=376
—53%

Across this market, small firms won 53% of awards with a known supplier size.

How often do local suppliers win?
i

How often local firms win similar work.

Winners with a registered address in the delivery region, out of awards with a known address.

Local means the winner is registered in the region where that award was delivered.

A local branch does not count if the registered address is elsewhere.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: no winner locations published · market: CPV 9050 · UK-wide, n=428
—63%

Across this market, 63% of winners were registered in the delivery region.

How long to a decision?
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the bid deadline to the award date, on competitions that published both.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: no decision dates published · market: CPV 9050 · UK-wide, n=105
—46 days

Half of these awards have an award date within 46 days of the bid deadline.

How often single-bid or direct?
i

How often work is awarded with no recorded rival.

Direct awards and tenders where every published lot count shows one bid.

The market share is a minimum: some awards have no bid count.

Thin markets produce this too; it is not proof of a tailored specification.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: no awards on record · market: CPV 9050 · UK-wide, n=369
—36%

Across this market, at least 36% of awarded procurements had no recorded rival.

How many bids did past lots attract?

i

How many bids past lots received.

Each colour is a bid-count range. Only competed lots with a published count are included.

Past bids do not predict this tender.

Last 36 months.

This buyerNo bid counts published
The market314 lots with bid counts · CPV 9050 · UK-wide
24% had one bid
Market · select a colour for counts
1 bid24%
Market: 74 of 314 lots with published bid counts.
2–349%
Market: 154 of 314 lots with published bid counts.
4–619%
Market: 61 of 314 lots with published bid counts.
7+8%
Market: 25 of 314 lots with published bid counts.

How did awards compare with estimates?

i

Where winning prices landed against estimates.

Each colour shows awards below, close to or above the published estimate, one lot at a time.

Past prices are a guide, not a bid price.

Last 36 months.

This buyerNo estimate-and-award pairs published
The market164 lots with estimate and award · CPV 9050 · UK-wide
44% below estimate
Market · select a colour for counts
Below estimate44%
Market: 72 of 164 lots with an estimate and award.
Within ±2%32%
Market: 53 of 164 lots with an estimate and award.
Above estimate24%
Market: 39 of 164 lots with an estimate and award.
2

Assess each lot
i

What past awards tell you about each lot.

See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.

No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.

Open a lot for its forecast, this buyer’s previous supplier and possible competitors, from published award history, not a bid list

Lot #1CPV 9012 monthsSME suitablePublished estimate£1.5m

This lot lists more than one class in CPV 90. The comparison uses that group.

Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative. The bar shows 1,571 past lots.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

—No model forecast yet17% chance of a single bid
Past bids on 1,571 similar lots
1 bid17%
260 of 1,571 similar past lots received 1 bid (17%).
2–328%
442 of 1,571 similar past lots received 2–3 (28%).
4–634%
529 of 1,571 similar past lots received 4–6 (34%).
7+22%
340 of 1,571 similar past lots received 7+ (22%).
Comparable past lots usually drew 4 bids.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

No comparable awards for this lot yet.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

—No model forecast yet
No comparable awards on record for this lot’s category yet. The published estimate is £1.5m, and the forecast stays empty until the market has a record to read.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

No earlier contract of this buyer matches this lot on the published record.

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

Candidate suppliers for this notice have not been worked out yet, so this is not a verdict that nobody fits.

About this data
  • Source. Official UK public procurement notices (Find a Tender), reused under the Open Government Licence v3.0. New notices arrive through the day; the figures are rebuilt nightly.
  • Two views, kept apart. The authority’s own track record and the wider market for the same kind of work sit side by side and are never mixed. Where the local picture is too thin, a figure widens to a broader market and says which one it used.
  • Forecasts are labelled. The price forecast and its range, possible competitors and the earlier-work matches are our estimates from past awards: not published facts, not win chances and not price advice. Official notices do not say who is bidding.
  • Every figure shows what it rests on. Not every notice publishes a bid count, a value or a delivery region, so each figure carries the number of records behind it, and one built on few records is marked as such. The on a figure explains it; the counting rules are in the methodology. Spotted something wrong? Tell us.

Procedure terms & legal framework

From the official record
Procedure method
Open procedure
Legal basis
UKPGA · 2023/54 Procurement Act 2023
Procurement category
Services
Notice status
Planned procurement
Procurement threshold
Above threshold (FTS publication)
Regulatory regime
Standard
Commercial structure
Stand-alone contract (no framework)
Competition type
Competitive procedure
GPA / WTO covered
Unspecified in notice
Recurring procurement
Unspecified in notice
First published
20 Nov 2025, 13:42 GMT
Last source update
20 Nov 2025, 13:42 GMT
Authority reference
PAPP-0979
FTS notice number
2025/S 000-075683
Latest notice
Pipeline notice (UK1)
Classification (CPV)
Cleaning and sanitation servicesCleaning and sanitation services in urban or rural areas, and related servicesEnvironmental servicesRefuse and waste related services
Delivery area
North East (UKC)North West (UKD)Yorkshire & Humber (UKE)East Midlands (UKF)West Midlands (UKG)East of England (UKH)London (UKI)South East (UKJ)
+1 moreSouth West (UKK)
Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-05e588 Find a Tender

How it was run

Official notice
Submission deadline
—

Timeline

20 Nov 2025 → 1 Apr 2026 · 3 dates
  1. Planning notice published340 days ago
    20 Nov 2025, 13:42 GMT
  2. Tender notice expected269 days ago
    30 Jan 2026, 23:59 GMT
  3. Contract starts209 days ago
    1 Apr 2026, 00:00 BST

Notice history

1 event · 1 release on Find a Tender
  1. Pipeline notice published
    20 Nov 2025, 13:42 GMT
    UK1

Commercial outcome & contract awards

Pipeline notice
Awards (0)
No award published
Contracts (0)
No contract published
Bid statistics
No aggregate bid statistics published

Contracting authority & participating public bodies

PARAGON ASRA HOUSING LIMITED

Contracting authorityPublic authority - sub-central government GB-COH: RS007536 · GB-PPON: PQXH-2435-XGXM Case House, 85 to 89 High Street, Walton on Thames, South East, KT12 1DZContact email

Official documents & specifications (1)

Official links; attachments are not copied

Notices published for this procedure

  • Pipeline notice planningPipeline noticeUK1Pipeline notice on Find a Tender